🏴‍☠️

"Pirate!"

notes while watching potctcotbp

how often are the sub and the moon the same apparent size, viewed from earth? I think the question I’m getting at is something like what percentage of the time is one within uhh 10% of the other’s size

[...]

Bottom line

• Strictly: There are rare occasions (a day or two per year at most) when the Sun and Moon differ by just over 10%.

• Practically: Well over 90% of the time they are within 10% of each other’s apparent size; some estimates put it closer to 95–98%.

So if your question is “What fraction of the time do we see the Moon and Sun within 10% of each other’s apparent diameter?” an excellent short answer is:

“Almost all the time—easily above 90%, probably around 95–98%.”

10% of the time, we are 10% off. Loosely. The tithe is more like guidelines. I swear, decimation is part of the play, and we gotta write choreography that leverages that, keeps it moving, keeps it shared

also I note that Jack Sparrow's compass doesn't point north

"It's not possible." "Not probable!"

gotta do something that's more interesting than everything blowing up. unless you want everything to blow up, I mean.

honestly, this movie is a 200-level course in technical probability-bending